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Price Waterhouse Coopers report, published right after the General Elections of
2014, predicted that the private equities market would revive and contribute
significantly in the building up of India’s success story over the next couple
of decades. If you have already contributed to the success story by investing
in the best equity funds in India, it is definitely time to sharpen your
analysis of the investment markets to make the right calls. So, should you
adopt a “top down” or a “bottom up” approach for evaluating your equity
instruments? Here are some insights.
What the “Top Down “Approach Means
“Top
down” investing is about looking at the holistic picture or the “big picture”.
Here, the investors take a close look at the economy first, and try and
forecast which industry would be generating the best and the maximum returns
and why. Once the winners or the prospective winners have been identified, investors
hunt for specific companies within these sectors and the stocks are then added
to the portfolios in equity
funds. So, if you think that there would
be a drop in home loan interest rates, you may also predict that the
residential real estate markets would do well as a result of this drop. And, the
search can then be limited to the topmost players in this sector and one or few
can be chosen for asset allocation.
What the “Bottom Up” Approach Signifies
This
approach is the reverse of the one above. It overlooks the economic conditions
and the broad sector, and focuses on the stocks depending upon the specific
attributes of the company. So here, the fund manager would be seeking robust
companies with healthy prospects, irrespective of the macroeconomic factors or
the industry it is a part of. However, what qualifies as a good prospect is
purely a matter of opinion. While some would find earnings growth as effective
pointers, others will prefer companies with low P/E ratios attractive. The
health of the company is all that matters here, irrespective of the financial
conditions of the market.
The Ideal Approach
When it comes to equity mutual funds, the best ones to opt for are a combination of both approaches in order to ensure maximum performance. Skilled fund managers are those who have built trust over the years with well performing funds. An equity scheme worthy of investment should be one that does not resort to any biases when choosing the companies to invest in.
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